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Where Is The Discount?
He's so expensive!
Let’s play a game …
If there were a rookie RB playing in the Super Bowl and that RB was projected to score only 4.8 fantasy points, where would you expect him to be selected in 2026 drafts?
If you guessed anything outside the Top 50 picks, you would be incorrect.
Curious Case of TreVeyon Henderson’s High ADP
Patriots RB TreVeyon Henderson is currently going off the board at pick 45 in early 2026 best ball contests (yes, you read that correctly—drafts have been open for a week now on Underdog).
What’s even more crazy is that I’m not even sure that’s an egregious price. The entire RB position is going early in drafts and there are 19 other RBs going ahead Henderson.
Even though he’s fully taken a back seat to Rhamondre Stevenson since Week 12, Hendo still finished the season with more yards and TDs than Rhamondre (1,132 yards, 10 TDs vs. 948, 9).
Fantasy is the ultimate “skate to where the puck is going to be” game and it wouldn’t be crazy for the younger and more explosive RB to deliver a Year 2 breakout in an ascending offense.
That said, it’s still jarring to see a player who projects for less than 1 more point than “George Holani” in the Super Bowl be a Round 4 pick in 2026 drafts.
At this point, I’m rooting for Henderson to do nothing in the Super Bowl. I can’t even imagine where he’d be going if he exploded for a monster game on the biggest stage. We need all the help we can get keeping his price in check.
For more discussion on values and fades in early 2026 drafts, check out the recent episode of Talk Data To Me featuring Dwain and special guest Davis Mattek.
🍋 🏈 Go Hard or Go Home!
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Fantasy
Editors’ Picks
No football today. Sigh. May as well reacquaint ourselves with our families. Or touch some grass. Though first we have plenty of great content. And ICMYI, check out these articles:
It was looking like no one wanted to coach Jalen Hurts, but the Eagles got a new OC. Chris Allen pored over the latest NFL headlines that have a fantasy spin. |
Are we sure about that Seahawks’ domination in this Super Bowl. Matthew Freedman studied all the angles—even rest and travel—to uncover his prediction for the big game. |
After directing the high-powered Rams offense that seemed to be able to score from every angle, where do Sean McVay and OC Mike LaFleur rate on play calling? Coach Gene Clemons rates the best offensive coordinators in the league. |
NFL Draft
SENIOR BOWL RECAP: A QB’s Stock Goes Up
Garrett Nussmeier had plenty of NFL Draft hype before a final season at LSU where injury and uneven play took him out of the potential first-round radar. But since NFL fans do love a redemption story, Nussmeier had a chance to boost his stock at the Senior Bowl as one of the headliners in Mobile, Alabama. And Coach Gene Clemons found the QB to be one of the players who helped themselves at the week of practice and the game:
“Nussmeier was named the Senior Bowl Offensive MVP after a great first two opening drives of the game. This performance followed a week of consistent play and showed scouts what he looks like when healthy. He made good throws and even demonstrated an ability to run the ball in for a touchdown, which definitely helped his stock this week. He's a great NFL prospect at the position; he just may not be what everyone thought he was last year when there were rumblings that he was going to leave early.”
Who else helped themselves ahead of the NFL Combine later this month and then the 2026 NFL Draft in late April? ⤵️
Dynasty
Stop Trying to Win Every Dynasty Trade
There’s no right way to initiate and execute trade discussions and actual deals when it come to dynasty. But there are wrong tactics to use when dealing with leaguemates. Jake Trowbridge puts the spotlight on those who try to win every trade. You know that person, or you may be that person:
“People who fixate on ‘winning’ trades develop a bad reputation in their league, somewhere between Patrick Bateman and ‘the guy who takes his shoes off on an airplane.’ Those constantly lopsided trade offers set off alarm bells. You’ll become untrustworthy. People will stop responding to your offers. Then they’ll stop sending them. Eventually, your only hope of getting a deal done is to drastically overpay as a sign of good faith or wait until a new person joins the league who isn’t familiar with your shenanigans.
“So stop asking ‘Did I win the trade?’ and start asking ‘Does this trade make sense for both of us?’ Plenty of good trades do (and should) benefit both sides.”
Jake’s advice is wide-ranging, with the main goal of making us all better traders when it comes to dynasty. And if it can save you hours of negotiations just so that a deal looks nothing like originally proposed, all the better.⤵️
Fantasy
Around the Watercooler
These fantasy nuggets should help you through a football-free Sunday.
🏈 ICYMI: Come for the QB rankings talk, and stay for the Super Bowl projections and props.
🧪 Interesting notes on the Patriots backfield. Do they tryst Hendo?
🫣 Staring at a wall? Coming up with some original fantasy punishments.
🔮 No worries at Nos. 2 and 3. Right? Choose your QB fighter.
🏆 It’s awards time at Fantasy Life. Just don’t ask us who we’re wearing on the red carpet.
🪓 Still time to draft Guilloteenies with a week to kickoff.
🤔 Xfinity Projections for the Super Bowl for Rhamondre Stevenson are something to think about.
🤩 An inspiring NFL stadium tour. Incredibly inspiring.
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