Three Keys To Surviving & Advancing

Will Josh Allen Reach His Xfinity Best Ceiling

Ready to keep playing fantasy throughout the playoffs? Then you’ll need our Xfinity Projections to see how many fantasy points your players will produce in the most important games. Josh Allen is a great play to buck the Broncos in the Divisional Round, but don’t stop at that. You can enjoy our excellent content AND the projections tool all at the low price of $0.00, thank you to Xfinity. Go now! Run some players through! Enjoy the tool! And get that win!!

Imagine all your football, all in one place. Easy. Xfinity. Imagine That.

Chris’ Way-Too-Early Look at 2026’s First Round

Honestly, the playoffs haven’t been all that interesting. I’m ready to turn the page to 2026.

Sike. I’m just playing.

I’m yet to process all of last year, and this past weekend’s action has been, to quote the meme, absolute cinema. However, let’s go through what the first round of next season might look like. Sure, we’ve still got the draft and free agency to consider. A lot is going to change. But it’s never too early to start prepping for drafts.

1.01 - Bijan Robinson, RB, ATL

The minimum PPR point total for an RB to be in the top five this season was 322.8. I used that value and went back over the last five years to put together a usage profile of what we should expect out of rushers we should consider at the 1.01. Those players averaged 69.7% of their team’s carries, a 15.0% target share and 70.3% of the touches from inside the 10-yard line. And looking at Bijan Robinson’s 2025 outing, I can see him hitting most of those marks in about 11 months.

• Rushing Attempts: 63%, 14th (amongst all RBs)

• Target Share: 20%, 2nd

• Green-Zone Touches per Game: 1.1, T-25th

There’s no question about Robinson’s talent. Our only concern is how often he gets the ball. Tyler Allgeier has been a thorn in the side of fantasy managers looking to get RB1 weeks out of the Falcons’ RB1. But with the backup looking to test free agency, that ceiling outcome for Robinson may be in the cards.

1.02 - Jahmyr Gibbs, RB, DET

Now, on the one hand, Jahmyr Gibbs’ 2025 wasn’t that dissimilar from Robinson’s. The ‘Bama product finished his third season with just 57% of the Lions’ carries and an 18% target share. His explosive run rate was almost the same, too (8.4% to 8.6%). However, Gibbs’ trajectory as the goal-line back looks a bit better.

• 2023 (Touch per Snap Rate): 47.8% (Gibbs), 34.8% (Robinson)

• 2024: 57.1%, 64.5%

• 2025: 59.3%, 54.5%

Detroit’s offseason will already be under scrutiny as they’re still looking for a new OC. But to go with a scheme adjustment, the backfield might be changing as well. GM Brad Holmes has indicated that trade conversations around David Montgomery will take place, as Gibbs has moved into the RB1 spot. Even with concerns about the offensive line, a bell cow role for Gibbs could push him ahead of Robinson.

1.03 - Puka Nacua, WR, LAR

Believe me when I say, I wanted to put Ja’Marr Chase here. And I’ll get to him in a sec. But Puka Nacua just went back-to-back seasons with a YPRR above 3.0 on a similar target volume. Of course, the most concerning stat for Nacua is his “tent visits per game” metric. But he’s averaged no fewer than 9.1 targets per game since joining the Rams. There was just one week with Nacua outside of the top 24. Matthew Stafford’s health and future as LA’s QB1 will impact Nacua’s ADP, but without any indication he’s going to hang up his cleats, I’d expect to see his WR1 at the top of drafts.

Fantasy Football Season Is Not Over

Three rounds. Two chops. One champion. Guilloteenies are now live in the Guillotine Leagues™ lobby.

We’re on to the Divisional Round

It’s the Great Eight of the NFL Playoffs. For many, it’s the best weekend of football of the year. Last year, only one game was decided by double digits, and it was a 45-31 upset victory by the Commanders over the Lions that saw plenty of offensive fireworks from both sides. This year, we have the reigning MVP (Josh Allen), two contenders for this MVP (Matthew Stafford and Drake Maye), a couple young stars on the top seeds (Sam Darnold and Bo Nix). It really is a wide-open field.

Jorge Martin provided a quick look ahead to the Divisional Round, offering up some hits on all six of the teams that advanced out of the Wild Card Round.

Trivia Time

Q: We saw some huge playoff debuts on Saturday night, with Jalen Coker (9 catches, 134 yards, 1 touchdown) and Colston Loveland (8 catches, 137 yards) both notching big games through the air. However, neither came particularly close to the NFL record for a playoff debut, which was set by this All-Pro receiver:

• Demaryius Thomas

• Calvin Johnson

• Randy Moss

• Puka Nacua

Around the Watercooler

The latest fantasy nuggets, silliness, and NFL gossip from our merry band of football nerds.

👀 Is Colston Loveland the TE1 for the rest of the postseason?

📝 You saw Chris’ Round 1 mock draft … where does Ian Hartitz differ?!

🤯 Let the Wild Card Weekend overreactions loose.

🪓 When do waivers run for postseason Guilloteenies? Here’s the schedule.

🤔 The real No. 1 RB in New England? Many are saying …

🍺 Let’s let this guy do all of the games. Electric broadcasting.

😆 On the other hand … Tony Romo highlights.

😱 Two road favorites in the Divisional Round? Yah, makes sense.

🔥 The NFL script writers had themselves a Wild (Card) Weekend.

👑 Trey McBride follows a long and distinguished line of top TEs.

🌭 Will Caleb Williams and the Bears keep the good times—and free hot dogs—rolling?