The RB Dominoes Are Falling

Offseason Is Time For A New Beginning

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Whether you’re chasing better energy, more confidence or just want to feel more in control—Hims is here to help you work toward your goals, even if it means rebuilding your dynasty roster. We’re proud to have Hims as a Fantasy Life partner. Their support keeps this newsletter free, fun and full of offseason news and NFL Draft content you enjoy.

_{Compounded drug products are not approved or evaluated for safety, efficacy, or quality by the FDA. Based on self-reported data from approximately 1400 Hims customers on a personalized treatment plan, including compounded GLP-1 injections, along with a reduced-calorie diet and exercise. Customers reported their weight at their initial medical consultation and their first check-in approximately 4 weeks later. Stopping weight loss treatment has been shown to result in weight regain. Not available in all 50 states. Weight Loss by Hims is a holistic program that includes nutrition support, technological tools, and medications prescribed based on what your provider determines is medically appropriate and necessary for you. See website for full details, important safety information, and restrictions, including online provider consultation requirements.}

Fantasy

Where Does Jayden Daniels Re-Enter The Ranks?

We're still officially weeks away from the 2026 NFL year (Mar. 11), which kicks off with free agency, but the NFL Scouting Combine starts today (Feb. 23), the franchise tag window closes the day after the combine ends (Mar. 3), and then the legal tampering period begins shortly after that (Mar. 9).

All of which is to say that, even though we're in the offseason, there's no offseason: 2026 fantasy football is very much front of mind. 

So, in this article, Matthew Freedman runs through his and highlights how he has them tiered. Specifically, giving notes on all the players in his top 12 and then noting a few late-round QBs he likes.

Tier 3: Joe Burrow, Jayden Daniels, Jalen Hurts & Jaxson Dart

Like the previous tier, this one doesn't appeal to me too much.

Of the four, I think Joe Burrow has the fewest questions, while Jaxson Dart might have the most upside.

Burrow missed half of last year, but in his six weeks after returning from injury, he averaged 270.0 yards passing, and in his full 2024 campaign, he had an NFL-high 4,918 yards and 43 TDs. Burrow has offered little as a runner over the past few years (9.4 yards per game), but he's still one of the league's best pocket passers, and he has one of the league's best receiving groups, led by WRs Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins. Business as usual.

Jayden Daniels looked like the future of the league in his 2024 OROY-winning debut, but in 2025 he played just seven games because of multiple injuries, and his efficiency declined (6.9 AY/A vs. 7.6; 4.8 yards per carry vs. 6.0). He hopes to rebound in 2026, but No. 1 WR Terry McLaurin turns 31 years old in September, and OC David Blough has no play-calling experience and just two seasons as a coach. In abundance, Daniels has both upside and downside.

Jalen Hurts entered 2025 as the reigning Super Bowl MVP, but then he underwhelmed as a passer (201.5 yards per game) and runner (career-worst 421 yards, eight TDs as a starter). Now he enters 2026 with his seventh play caller in seven years, and OC Sean Mannion has no play-calling experience and just two years as a coach. Additionally, the "Tush Push" could be banned this offseason, and No. 1 WR A.J. Brown could be traded away. Eagles fly, but like all creatures, they also die. 

Dart was a top-three fantasy QB last year with 23.1 points per game in seven rookie starts with HC Brian Daboll, thanks to his league-high 16% designed rush share. But after Daboll's dismissal and Dart's midseason concussion, the team curtailed his called rush attempts (7%). New OC Matt Nagy (as Bears HC) helped second-year QB Mitch Trubisky progress significantly in 2018. Maybe he can do the same for Dart now, but it's worrisome that his 2023-25 Chiefs offenses never ranked higher than No. 15 in scoring.

NFL DRAFT

How Much Does The NFL Draft Combine Matter?

Remember a year ago when Matthew Golden’s blazing-fast 40-yard dash time (4.29) catapulted him into Round 1 of the draft? The hype was palpable around the rookie wideout out of Texas, but his fantasy production never quite followed in Year 1.

That begs the question—how much does the combine actually matter for predicting future fantasy success among the prospects?

With that in mind, Dwain McFarland took a deep dive into the data to determine how much each test matters for running backs, wide receivers and tight ends. In addition to athletic testing, he assessed height, weight and age.

First, he looked at how each data point correlates with future fantasy points per game in Years 1 through 3. At the same time, he evaluated how the data correlates with NFL Draft capital, so we can compare and contrast what NFL executives consider most important with what has the strongest signal for fantasy football.

Second, he looked at the top fantasy performers as a cohort. While this limits our sample, it also provides additional insight into how much each NFL Combine attribute mattered for fantasy difference-makers.

Finally, he summarized the thematic findings and examined an overall rank for all NFL Combine data points across RB, WR and TE.

So … which tests are most important? Let’s find out. ⬇️

Fantasy

Around the Watercooler

The latest fantasy and NFL gossip, news, memes and more from our merry band of football nerds …

📝 Speaking of Jayden Daniels, how should the Commanders build around him?

📈 A sophomore RB cracks the top 12. Is he worth a Round 1 pick in 2026?

😴 This Georgia State wideout is a sleeper to keep an eye on at this week’s Combine.

👀 We still can’t believe it. What are they declaring for?!

🦅 Will A.J. Brown be an Eagle come September? They have to prepare either way.

🏅 This goal was golden. First time since Miracle in 1980.