RBs To Add If You Are Sharp

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Fantasy

Around the Watercooler

The latest fantasy and NFL gossip, news, memes and more from your favorite football nerds …

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⛈️ The forecast for Jordyn Tyson remains murky. Ugh, here’s the latest.

⛓️‍💥 This RB is emerging as one of the most important handcuffs. Snap him up.

🙌 If you need a TE to start this week … don’t pass up Miami.

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🤯 I can’t get over the Bucs game on Sunday. Check out this wild stat.

🎯 Must target these players on waiver wire. Good selection.

🧞 Did D’Andre Swift grant your Monday Night Miracle? Or did he sink you?

No. 1 Utilization Takeaway From Week 8 Is …

Jonah Coleman Seizes The Broncos Backfield

With RJ Harvey placed on IR ahead of Week 8, the Broncos backfield condensed down to Coleman and J.K. Dobbins. The fourth-round rookie RB stepped into the driver's seat, monopolizing 68% of the snaps and scoring 20.4 points with an 84 Utilization Score.

Coleman handled 52% of the rushing attempts, still sharing with Dobbins. But he took the high-leverage work, handling 86% of short-yardage snaps (LDD) and logging a 56% route share. Coleman took 4 of 5 attempts inside the five-yard line.

He finished the day with 11 attempts and four targets.

Coleman only has 30 attempts versus 94 for Dobbins, but the early results point to the rookie as the superior option in most categories:

• Yards per carry: 4.5 vs. 3.3

• Yards after contact: 2.37 vs. 2.43

• 10+ yard attempts: 16.7% vs. 5.3%

• Yards per route run (YPRR): 2.94 vs. 0.71

• Targets per route run (TPRR): 27% vs. 21%

Coleman's biggest obstacle is probably no longer Dobbins. It might be Jonathan Taylor, who the Broncos are reportedly pursuing via trade. If Taylor heads to the Mile High City, Coleman's fantasy value would plummet to handcuff status.

If the Broncos don't add another high-quality back, Coleman's outlook over the next three games without Harvey is great. He has the third-best RB schedule (+1.8 PPG): CAR (+4.1), BYE, LV (+3.3), PIT (-1.9 PPG).

Jonah Coleman short-term outlook assuming no RB trade

This scenario assumes Coleman maintains a slight edge over Dobbins as a ball carrier and is the No. 1 backfield passing-game option until Harvey returns. His historical Utilization Score comparisons averaged 15.8 PPG, with 55% securing RB1 runouts.

• RB1-6 producers: 15% (ceiling outcome)

• RB7-12 producers: 40% (high-end median outcome)

• RB13-18 producers: 33% (low-end median outcome)

• RB19-24 producers: 13% (floor outcome)

The Broncos were in comeback mode against the Chiefs in Week 8, which helped Coleman since he is the pass-down option. This outlook reflects that, recognizing his role could change in closer games. Of course, the Broncos could go all-in on Coleman, which would push his ceiling hit rates higher than above.

Coleman UPGRADES to mid- to high-end RB2 territory over the next three games with Harvey out if they don't trade for another RB.

Jonah Coleman rest-of-season outlook assuming no RB trade

Harvey is eligible to return as soon as Week 13. In this scenario, I am assuming Harvey is ready by then and reclaims a significant portion of the passing-down work. Coleman remains the No. 2 passing-down RB and the lead rushing RB, but still shares some with Dobbins.

We saw a small sample size of this scenario in Week 7 when Coleman played 50% of the snaps, handled 41% of attempts, and earned an 8% target share on a 25% route share. He scored 8.9 points with a 50 Utilization Score. I am giving Coleman a slight bump up from these numbers as the ascending option.

His comparisons averaged 12.6 PPG, with 40% posting RB2 finishes.

• RB1-12 finishes: 12% (ceiling outcome)

• RB13-24 finishes: 40% (high-end median outcome)

• RB25-36 producers: 43% (low-end median outcome)

• RB37-48 producers: 5% (floor outcome)

To be clear, this is how Coleman looks after his stint as an RB2 over the next three games. And Harvey may not be ready in Week 13. 

The Broncos have the 2nd-best RB schedule the rest of the season (+1.5 PPG).

Upon Harvey's return, Coleman would be a borderline RB2, but offers high-end RB2 upside if the Broncos remain firmly committed to his current role.

Coleman range-of-outcomes recap:

• High-end RB2 until Harvey returns.

• Borderline RB2 upon Harvey's return.

• Handcuff RB5 if the Broncos trade for a high-quality RB like Taylor.

Week 9 DST Streamers: Back To The Chiefs

Fuller: The Chiefs are coming off of a disappointing loss to Denver in Week 8 but get to return home to play the Jets at Arrowhead. That is a prime bounceback spot for Kansas City, and they are favored by 9.5 points in the early line. The Chiefs are among the better run defenses in the league, giving up the third-lowest rushing success rate so far this season.

The Jets offense is not a total dumpster fire, but they rely on their rushing attack to set up the play-action passing game. If Kansas City can limit the Jets' ground game, they should be able to tee off on Geno Smith, who is tied for the second most sacks taken this season. This game checks all the boxes I look for, and Kansas City should be motivated coming off their loss. The Chiefs offense also looks better with Rashee Rice back in the fold, which bodes well for the game script. 

If you don't already have a solid starting option, the Chiefs are my favorite streaming option for Week 9.

Week 8 Overreactions: Kirk Cousins QB4? Really?

Kendall and Pete start with Overreaction Monday. Is Joe Burrow the MVP? Who needs to pass the ball when they have Bucky Irving? Is Braelon Allen staying the Jets’ RB1? Does Klint Kubiak hate Ashton Jeanty? Plus, Scott Turner joins in to talk some real-life football and moves teams could make at the trade deadline. Make sure to subscribe to the Fantasy Life Show.