QUARTERBACK

Daniel Jones, New York Giants

Jones is inconsistent but can have good fantasy games in favorable matchups. Last week against Washington, Jones passed for 174 yards with 2 touchdowns and rushed for 54 yards on 7 carries with a score. The Panthers allow the sixth-most fantasy points to quarterbacks and have allowed 18 touchdowns while only recording 3 interceptions (zero since Week 4).

RUNNING BACK

Tyler Allgeier, Atlanta Falcons

Bijan Robinson has been getting larger workloads recently, but Allgeier is still involved. Allgeier always has a chance to score against a bad Saints defense. Allgeier scored last week and has 2 touchdowns in the last four games. Against the Saints in Week 4, he had 8 carries for 60 yards and caught 2 passes for 20 yards.

WIDE RECEIVER

Jauan Jennings, San Francisco 49ers

Jennings is set to return and if he sits out, Ricky Pearsall could take his place. Jennings tends to play out of the slot more often, has performed well when given the snaps, and gets a great matchup against a weak Buccaneers secondary that allows the seventh-most fantasy points to wide receivers. 

TIGHT END

Taysom Hill, New Orleans Saints

Hill will see an expanded role with the Saints short-handed. Kendre Miller is on injured reserve and has been limited with a groin injury, allowing Hill to get carries in addition to being involved in the passing game. Hill had a 19% target share last week, catching 4 passes for 41 yards and rushed 5 times for 19 yards with a touchdown. Hill had 6 carries for 24 yards with 2 touchdowns against the Falcons in Week 4.

If you need more streamers to consider, consult our start/sit tool to compare options and double down to see how our expert rankers view fringe options this week.

What else is in today’s newsletter?

1. Week 10 Roundtable: Lessons We’re Learning

2. Watercooler: 32 Facts/32 Teams and more

3. WR/CB Matchups To Target And Avoid

Week 10 Expert Roundtable: Sleeper WRs, Bad Shrimp, and More

by Cooterdoodle

In this week’s roundtable, we bring in Lawrence Jackson (aka @LordDontLose) of NBC Sports and Jeff Bell (aka @4WhomJBellTolls) of Footballguys.  

Let’s get into it:

What lessons, if any, are you taking with you into next year’s draft? Have we learned anything at all?

Jeff Bell: Bellcow backfields are back. Committees were the rage, but teams have realized that splitting a backfield, particularly with diverse skill sets, can serve as a dead giveaway to defenses. The rules also favor an offensive team building the most diverse skill position groups possible, not substituting, and forcing defenses into a difficult position. This is a key behind two-TE sets. Tight ends, especially athletic ones capable of lining up as outside receivers, can serve to create a power formation against lighter defensive sets or spread heavier sets out. 

In my weekly Monday article on Footballguys, I detail every backfield. Last year, I tracked about 10 backfields that utilized a bellcow back. This year, the number is in the low 20s. In a standard 12-person fantasy league, 24 backs must start weekly. If there are 10 bellcow backs, most of the league will have one as their RB1. A couple may have two of these backs, and at least two will not have an RB1; instead, they will rely on depth and potentially play matchups. Those teams can look to offset their weakness at running back with a Zero RB approach, building advantages elsewhere on their roster. 

If we bump that number into the low 20s, now most of the league is capable of starting two of these high-volume options. Instead of a couple having two, some teams may now have three or even four, considering ADP. This landscape makes Zero RB builds more difficult. Not only do fantasy managers have fewer split backfields to create a pool to utilize in favorable matchups, but they are also playing against two or more top running backs weekly. 

Running backs have always been king in fantasy football. They are reasserting their value in 2024. 

Lawrence: I haven’t really learned anything new, but I do see that trading in fantasy football seems like it’s at an all-time low. NOBODY wants to do deals unless they’re getting two Kings’ ransoms for three pawns. Most times people are overvaluing players they don’t even want anymore LOL. Even funnier, once you make an offer for a certain mid-level player, all of a sudden your potential trade partner acts like that player is Michael Jordan. So I’ll say this, make sure you really get the guys you want in your draft. 

RELATED CONTENT:

• Chris Allen and Jorge Martin get you up to speed on the Week 10 injury report.

• Jonathan Fuller breaks down trades to entertain, whether you’re buying or selling.

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The latest analysis and insights from our merry band of football nerds:

🏈 A full slate of college football games on tap … Thor’s bets for Week 11!

👀 32 Facts for 32 Teams. Everything you need to prep for Week 10.

👨‍💻 College football today as an appetizer for tomorrow. Player props for today’s slate.

🤝 Focusing on just NFL this weekend instead? We have you covered, too.

🎯 Two teams to target in your DFS lineups this weekend. Onslaughts on tap?

💰 Turning paydirt into a payday … one TD at a time.

Upgrade Cooper Kupp, Downgrade JSN?

by Chris Allen

Week 10 is here, and that means it's time to examine the best—and worst—wide receiver matchups for fantasy football. 

This week, we look at six matchups fantasy managers should target, avoid, or consider for their sneaky upside in Week 10.

Matchup to Target

Falcons WR Darnell Mooney (@ Saints)

Before we get into Darnell Mooney’s matchup, let’s look at his usage.

Some see Mooney as an all-or-nothing option because of where he plays (primarily on the outside) and his aDOT (over 10 yards in three of his last five games). It’s like he’s back in Chicago. 

But we can see that his routes, targets, and air yards in the sample are more in line with a midrange WR2. On the season, he’s seen fewer than five looks from Kirk Cousins just twice. Now, with Drake London nursing a hip injury, Mooney will have the offensive situation and draw a defensive secondary that sets him up for another big week.

Mooney is lined up on the left side of the field on over 60% of his snaps. His typical alignment pairs him with Saints CB Alontae Taylor, as starter Kool-Aid McKinstry continues to miss time with a hamstring issue. Taylor has given up yardage totals of 76, 65 (and a touchdown), and 47 in his last three games. And it was a speedy WR who beat him for the score. Given Mooney’s usual utility to the offense and his assignment for Sunday, we should have WR1 expectations for the Falcons’ WR2.

Matchup to Avoid

Cardinals WR Marvin Harrison Jr. (vs. Jets)

I have Marvin Harrison listed as a player to avoid, but it’s worth discussing his range of outcomes first.

• Target Share: 23.0%

• Air Yard Share: 42.0%

• aDOT: 15.2

Harrison has a UR Score of 6.3. Based on this alone, he’d be comparable to classmate Brian Thomas Jr. or Amari Cooper. Either frame his floor and ceiling potential. The Jaguars’ WR1 has two games of 15 or more PPR points sandwiched between outings in the single digits. Harrison has done the same. But his potential to meet his ceiling looks limited against the Jets.

Whether he’ll see CB Sauce Gardner or D.J. Reed doesn’t matter. The duo has largely kept perimeter receivers in check. Tank Dell was the first to eclipse 100 yards on them, but we know circumstances compelled the Texans to get him targets. The Cardinals have Trey McBride (and Greg Dortch). George Pickens’ TD was the first the Jets’ outside CBs have allowed since September. With the Cardinals’ passing game continuing to struggle, we should lower our expectations for Harrison.

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