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- š” The Injuries Won't STOP
š” The Injuries Won't STOP
Now the top TE is hurt...
In today's Fantasy Life Newsletter presented by Buffalo Wild Wings:
The Top TE in the league is hurt
QUICK HITTER: Our Eliminator Leagueās first punishment is liveā¦
History of Week 1 Overreactions: Stay calmā¦
A sleeper RB to stash
Buy, Sell, Hold: Get off to a fast start
Itās 9/6. Take it away, Peter Overzetā¦
Well, we didnāt even make it to Thursday without all hell breaking loose:
Chiefsā HC Andy Reid told reporters that Travis Kelce hyper-extended his knee at practice today and his status for Thursday nightās opener vs the Lions is uncertain.
ā Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter)
6:06 PM ā¢ Sep 5, 2023
Itās been a bumpy ride on our way to Week 1 with injuries piling up to marquee players like Cooper Kupp, Jerry Jeudy, and Terry McLaurin.
And now, the defending champs look like theyāll be without their top pass-catching weapon on Thursday vs. the Detroit Lions, which has moved the line from Chiefs -7 all the way down to -5.5:
If you spent a first-round pick on Travis Kelce, this is a very concerning development.
Thereās obviously the short-term risk of him missing gamesāEdwin Porras shared a few best-case scenario examplesābut the long-term concerns are more worrisome at Kelceās advanced age (he turns 34 in a month).
Schefter later followed up that his ACL is intact, but that there is still inflammation in his knee and they will test it again today.
1. Itās concerning that his knee is swollen enough that they have to wait for it to go down
2. Hyperextensions are some of the hardest injuries to predict recovery time based on wide variety of possible pathology
3. Id be shocked if he played Thursday even with just this littleā¦ twitter.com/i/web/status/1ā¦ā Brian Sutterer MD (@BrianSuttererMD)
9:36 PM ā¢ Sep 5, 2023
Kelce is a true superstar, but āfather time is undefeated,ā as they say.
When the age cliff comes for these guys, it is brutal and unforgiving. This is not to say Kelce canāt rebound from this and have a solid year, but the risk has been ratcheted up multiple levels.
Whether you are a Kelce manager or not, itās worth tacking on Noah Gray to the end of your bench:
noah gray was 10th in snaps and 5th(!) in receptions for the chiefs last season as they shifted from using 12 personnel 24% of the time in 2021 to 39% of the time in 2022
if kelce doesn't go on thursday, gray becomes a *massive* part of kansas city's offense
ā Tej Seth (@tejfbanalytics)
6:23 PM ā¢ Sep 5, 2023
Yesterday, Dwain broke down the Chiefs WRs and itās worth circling back and re-reading his analysis, because the team has no choice but to push a few of these guys into prominent roles.
Weāll keep you posted with more updates as we get themā¦
š„Hot BBQ is Back
No, this is not a drill!
Hot BBQ is back at Buffalo Wild Wings for a Limited Time Only!
Classic, smokey-sweet BBQ with a spicy heat will make the best gametime food even better!
Buffalo Wild Wings has a new sauce lineup with 26 sauces and seasonings from Limited Time flavors like Hot BBQ and Bulleit BourbonTM to the brand new Blazin' Knockout.
Nothing goes with football like Wings...find your favorite flavor and head to your local Buffalo Wild Wings on Game Day (or tonight...why wait)!!
Last week, we introduced Fantasy Lifeās Punishment Eliminator League, consisting of 18 Fantasy Life staff members. The person eliminated each week will be subject to a punishment from our Buffalo Wild Wings Punishment Generator, and weāve got breaking newsā¦the first punishment is inā¦
Are you ready for Week 1? Today Ian shares his tips and tricks for how to react to all the new information and avoid falling into the history of Week 1 overreactionsā¦
Week 1 is a helluva drug.
Itās been a long seven months since our last bit of meaningful NFL action, leaving real-life fans and fantasy football degenerates alike absolutely DYING to get back into the swing of things.
Of course, the offseason has a way of causing some swift overreactions to whatever happens in the next week of action.
Slow starts, hot starts, questionable game-planning choices: Week 1 might technically only count for one 18th of the regular season, but youād never know that based on the incoming overreactions to whatever goes down.
Sometimes a massive week-winning fantasy performance on opening night is simply a sign of even more great things to come.
Other times itās simply Sammy Watkins back on his bullsh*t, or someone like Kevin Ogletree booming once before leading fantasy managers on an ill-fated wild-goose chase trying to re-capture that same lightning in a bottle.
Look no further than literally last year to find some reasonable ā but ultimately wrong ā interpretations from the first slate of games.
Commanders QB Carson Wentz throws for 313 yards and four (!) TDs in a thrilling comeback win over the Jaguars, racking up more fantasy points than any QB not named Patrick Mahomes or Josh Allen in the process. Looks like Washington found their QB!
Colts WR Michael Pittman caught nine of 13 targets for 121 yards and a score in Matt Ryanās debut. Certainly, a third-year breakout is on the way now that Indy solved their problems under center!
RBs like Kareem Hunt, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Dontrell Hilliard and James Robinson scored multiple TDs on their way to fantastic fantasy finishes. Surely each enjoyed loads of future success!
There were also plenty of examples on the other side with studs having rather brutal down weeks: CeeDee Lamb, Rhamondre Stevenson, Dameon Pierce, Amari Cooper and Tony Pollard are just a few names who scored fewer than 5.0 PPR fantasy points before putting forward objectively great fantasy seasons.
Hell, DeVonta Smith didnāt even record a catch in the opening 60 minutes of last season. He turned out alright!
August 2 reminder that DeVonta Smith is good at football
ā Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz)
2:43 PM ā¢ Aug 2, 2023
Naturally, none of these situations wound up being all that reflective of 2022 fantasy production despite injuries largely not being a major issue for any party involved. THIS LEAGUE.
Determining whether or not a boom or bust fantasy performance is indicative of future production is what fantasy football management is all about.
Here are three key tips to NOT let Week 1 anxiety and hoopla get the best of you for better and for worse.
1ļøā£ Tip #1: Keep your composure
Donāt panic!
As the late great Norm Macdonald once said: āYou should never bet on football ācause the ball ain't round.ā
While I will continue to bet on football (especially with Fantasy Life providing FREE picks), Norm highlights just how quickly things can change with one bounce of the ball.
An overthrow can be the difference between winning or losing your game. Or maybe a drop. Or maybe an official ignored Terry McLaurin and nullified a game-winning TD on a ridiculous illegal formation penalty (Yes, Iām still bitter).
Randomness is a part of every sport to various extents, and especially so in 11-on-11 tackle football ā¦ with a ball that aināt round.
Feel free to scream and cry when bad things inevitably happen to your fantasy team; just realize that separating bad luck from bad performance will help you avoid letting one bad Sunday negatively influence future roster decisions.
Which brings us toā¦
šØ The Bucs RB you need to add ASAP. Heās opening up as the RB2 behind a shaky RB1.
šŗ Have a last-minute draft? 10 tips to help you dominate.
šø You will not believe which QB claims to have seen a UFO. Checks out.
š Getting ahead of the curve is vital. Four players primed to break out.
š¤ Jimmy Gās contract was restructured. Making room for JT?! Just kidding.
š°ļø Our favorite bet to lead the league in receiving yards. Nice odds.
š Who is The Joker? Donāt forget about this Falcon.
šļø Will Kyler play this year? An NFL insider gives his opinion.
š Happy trails to one of the greats. What a career.
Each week during the season, Cooterdoodle walks us through the fantasy trade market from a buy, hold, sell perspective...
Sure, we havenāt even kicked off Week 1 yet, but that doesnāt mean we canāt start strategizing. Your [undisclosed number] of drafts have finished, which means the competition has already begun.
Believe me when I say this: Winners never rest.
So letās get into some Buy, Sell, Hold baby! It feels good to be back!
š° BUY
š Post Draft Clarity
Now that youāve had a few hours(days? weeks?) to sit on your draft results, itās time to take another look, but this time without those rose-colored glasses.
The dopamine levels are back to baseline and we can finally look upon our rosters with post-draft clarity.
As we take inventory, itās important to really rip your team apart with your newfound honesty.
High hopes and biases aside, how does your roster truly look?
Evaluate your starters. Judge your bench and your depth. Which position makes you the most vulnerable in the event of injury or bust? Now that the fog has lifted, itās time to identify any and all of your shortcomings.
If you pinpoint your Achilles heel now it will save you a ton of pain later.
With post-draft clarity, youāll always be ready to pivot in the heat of the moment while your leaguemates are frozen with reactions like shock and disbelief.
š Assess and Attack
We donāt want to only focus on our own team, do we? (responsorial: āNo!ā)
Zeroing in on your leaguematesā weak spots and shortcomings is a valuable way to spend your time as you wait for kickoff. Hereās why:
It can give insight into where they might be putting their FAAB and energy during waivers
Weak spots can be leveraged in a future trade. Help them help you.
It can be one hell of an ego boost to see where they f*cked up
So while everyone is waiting for Thursday Night Football, youāre preparing for battle.
š° SELL
š Panic Trading After Bust Weeks
It happens every year. Youāve hyped yourself up and drafted well. Youāre in a position to win from the start butā¦ the unthinkable happens: You lose.
Your early-round pick is a bust. How could this happen?! Thatās when the panic starts to set in. But youāve got to get a hold of yourself.
Donāt freak out yet. Itās still early. Sooner than later youāll see Buy Sell Hold articles telling you to target this ābustā and capitalize on the panic.
Donāt be the guy that jumps ship too soon. Keep calm and remember some of these fun facts from last season (.5PRR):
Isaiah Pacheco(12.2) outscored Austin Ekeler(9.2) in Week 1, but Ekeler went on to score 190.5 more total points on the year.
Justin Jefferson had 5 weeks with less than 8 points (3 of those being less than 5 total points) and he still finished 10th in total points for the season and WR1 overall.
Derrick Henry started 2022 off with single-point games in each of his first two weeks, but he finished RB4 overall.
Itās easy to convince ourselves that we should chase āthe next big thingā or ājump shipā, but you drafted the way you did for a reason. Donāt panic right out of the gate.
Best wishes and prayers for my boy in the home league
ā Tyler O (@FFTylerO)
6:50 PM ā¢ Sep 5, 2023