- Fantasy Life Newsletter
- Posts
- š¬ Deciding Your Fantasy Fate
š¬ Deciding Your Fantasy Fate
Are you in or out on these players?
There's always pressure when drafting your fantasy teams.
Will this quarterback finally turn the corner?
Can this coordinator really step up and maximize this offense?
So many questions churn in your head when the clock is ticking down, and navigating risk should always be in the back of your mind. Because what's a draft without a little risk! Calculating the pros and cons of every player is in our natureāwho could make your fantasy season and who could break it?
There are a few names all going in different rounds of Underdog drafts right now that fit that mold ā¦
Omarion Hampton (ADP: 15.4)
A rookie who came into the league with so much hype, just to have it crushed by injury, was Omarion Hampton last season. A fractured ankle cost him seven games, and on top of that, the Chargers had offensive line issues that never seemed to go away, which means we rarely saw any momentum for Hampton. But there was still a lot of good to take awayāHampton averaged 14.9 points per game, and in five games with 55% or more of the rushing attempts, that average jumped up to 19 points per game.
You're not getting any discount with Hampton this season. The arrival of new OC Mike McDaniel has everyone giddy about what this Chargers team could look like. Under McDaniel over the last five years, running backs have seen no less than 21.1% of the early-down pass attempts. We can never predict injuries, but that's where the potential bear case lies. It's dependent on Hampton staying healthy and Hampton demanding a three-down workload next to Kimani Vidal and Keaton Mitchell. He feels like an easier click if you can stomach the cost.
Rashee Rice (ADP: 28.5)
I have gone on record these past few weeks saying I like drafting Rashee Rice at his current cost, but the risk cannot be ignored. He was released from a Dallas County jail on Tuesday and had surgery about a week before he was sentenced (all really bad). The question with Rice is not about his play, but whether he will be able to get through a full season without any off-the-field issues.
Will he draw another suspension before the season begins?
Will he do something absolutely stupid during the season?
All valid questions, but his current draft status is right in the middle of the third round on Underdog.
Unless the Chiefs bring in another receiver, they did not address the position much this offseason, which gives Rice an out to still be a target monster. Over his last 17 full games, he's locked down 163 targets, 120 receptions, 1,377 yards and 10 receiving touchdowns.
Are you willing to take on the risk with a wild card player? The reward could be there, or we can all look back at this write-up and laugh ⦠whatever!
Tyler Warren (ADP: 65.5)
This one might be a reach, but I wanted to highlight Tyler Warren simply because of the range he's going in. In the sixth round, five high-end quarterbacks are being drafted, and Warren sits firmly in the middle of that round, so not only could you be passing on an elite QB, but Warren's production is going to be reliant on a healthy Daniel Jones ⦠that in and of itself seems risky.
This isn't a knock on Warren's talents, but rather on everything going on around him.
Jones was really damn good to start the seasonāaccording to ESPN, through the first seven games, he led the league in dropback success rate (56.1%) and EPA per dropback (0.30) with a 71.0% completion percentage. Then the Achilles injury happened in Week 14.
In 12 games when Jones was healthy, we saw Warren score five touchdowns and average 13.1 fantasy points per game. In five games without Jones, Warren fell to 6.3 points per game and didn't score. Warren and Jonathan Taylor will be the focal points of this offense, but just how well will it run?
The Fantasy Life Draft Guide Is Here
This is a draft guide built just for you. Sync your leagues or use one of our preset ranking templates to get personalized rankings for your team. Plus, look for our expertsā tags on players to see who they think are sleepers, risky, fades, avoids and who their favorite players to target are. Full access with FantasyLife+.
Fantasy
Around the Watercooler
The latest fantasy and NFL gossip, news, memes and more from your favorite football nerds ā¦
š CMC, Lamar, Kenneth Walker and more. Results of a star-studded mock draft.
š This 14-win team from last year now has only a 9.5 projected win total for 2026. Did they overperform?
š¤ Two young TEs with massive upside. Whoās the better click in 2026?
š§ A top offense with a rising QB added a WR with first-round pedigree and three 1K seasons. Sign us up.
ā”ļø If his last name is any indication, this second-year WR could be in for an electric year.
š This QB led the league in pass attempts. Now he gets a new toy to play with.
š§āš§āš§ Trying to figure out this committee is no fun. Three heads not better than one.
āļø A Jets WR is turning heads at minicamp. Buy, buy, buy.
š The Joker was on you last year. Ready to get hurt again?
š«³š½ There are times you just have to reach in drafts. But for who?
1ļøā£ Whatās the best draft position? Youād be surprised.
First, there was Zero RB. Punt the position and hopefully hit lottery tickets late in your draft. Then there was Hero RB. Draft an anchor to lead your room early and then deploy a Zero-RB approach from then on. And now?
All of the running backs.
Robust RB Strategy Guide for Fantasy Football 2026
Of the top 12 running backs drafted in 2025 fantasy leagues, only two missed notable time due to injury: Josh Jacobs (two missed games, limited snaps in others) and Bucky Irving (seven missed games). Meanwhile, 10 running backs recorded at least 300 touches this past season, with three eclipsing 350. Loading up on as many of those players gives you that huge upside, but also weekly consistency. Because you are trying to secure as many elite, workhorse running backs as possible, it also ensures you avoid the vaunted RB Dead Zone, which usually kicks off in Round 7. The bust rate of running backs is much higher than wideouts in that draft range, while there are still upside wide receivers available.
Your decision to deploy a Robust-RB strategy can come down to a few different factors. For starters, how loaded is the elite tier of fantasy running backs? Our fantasy football projections currently have eight running backs slated for at least 300 touches in 2026. It would be in your best interest to try to secure two, maybe even three, of those players. Secondly, because you are foregoing the position during the early rounds, a deep WR pool will make deploying Robust RB a lot more palatable.
So, youāre ready to try a Robust RB draft. How do you begin?
Youāre obviously trying to draft the elite players like Bijan Robinson, Jahmyr Gibbs, Christian McCaffrey, Jonathan Taylor and James Cook. But there are also some really strong candidates available at a discount. Saquon Barkley has now fallen from top 5 overall to the early second round of drafts, while Chase Brown and Derrick Henry are coming off the board in the middle of Round 2. Outside of the obvious top-5 running backs, letās highlight a few of my favorite Robust-RB targets ā¦
Take Advantage Of The Value On Jayden Reed
They say thereās no such thing as āsleepersā anymore in fantasy football. Thatās true to a certain extent. The days of finding an unknown player in the middle rounds are over, with the fantasy player base becoming more educated overall.
That said, that doesnāt mean there isnāt value to be had. There are still plenty of undervalued options that are flying under the radar in early drafts.
Letās dive into three players who are worth reaching for at their current price tags.
Jayden Reed | WR | GB
Consensus Flex Ranking: 80
Current ADP: 118.9
The Packers have employed a āby committeeā approach at wide receiver in recent years, but that figures to change in 2026. The team lost both Romeo Doubs and Dontayvion Wicks this offseason, which leaves two fewer mouths to feed. Those two players combined for 131 targets last season, and they didnāt bring in anyone to help replace them. They didnāt draft a single pass catcher, while their only free agent signing at receiver was Skyy Moore. That means that the guys who were already on the depth chart are going to have to do the heavy lifting.
Reed is coming off a bit of a lost season in 2025-26. He was limited to just seven games played, and he dealt with multiple injuries. He was limited throughout the preseason with a Jones fracture in his left foot, and he landed on IR after suffering a broken collarbone in Week 2. As a result, he was never really able to get going.
However, Reed led all Packersā receivers in fantasy points per game in 2025, and he was the WR23 in half-PPR scoring two years ago. Heās done that despite never really having a full-time role. He posted a 73% route participation two years ago and a 64% mark in 2023-24. If Reed can combine his previous efficiency with more volume this season, he has the potential to be one of the best values in the draft.
The same logic applies to both Christian Watson and Tucker Kraft. Theyāre a bit more expensive, but theyāre also poised for bigger workloads in 2026-27. Kraft was arguably the best tight end in fantasy before getting hurt last season, while Watson was incredible down the stretch. Overall, the Packersā pass catchers stand out as one of the most undervalued groups of assets in fantasy at the moment.
A Surprise WR1 in KC?
It looked like Rashee Rice was the projected top target for the Chiefs, then off-the-field matters got in the way. Then Xavier Worthy became the minicamp MVP in some circles. Could it be Worthy who unlocks the Chiefs offense with a healthy Patrick Mahomes? Subscribe to the Fantasy Football is Life Channel for all the team previews and more.
Our tiered premium product built upon a suite of fantasy football and sports betting tools. The NEW way to take your game to the next level. | Sync your league and get started with customizing all of Fantasy Life's tools, rankings, and projections to your league settings. |





