• CMC/Jordan Mason > Isaac Guerendo

• Kenneth Walker > Zach Charbonnet

• Breece Hall > Braelon Allen

All three of those backups are now must-start RB2s today with RB1 upside.

Here’s what else you need to know before setting your lineup …

Game-time decisions: Both Malik Nabers (groin) and George Pickens (hamstring) will test things out pregame. Of the two, I’m more worried about Nabers. Wan’Dale Robinson is very much on the FLEX radar.

Keon Coleman is a GTD. Amari Cooper and Khalil Shakir are strong starts.

Ladd McConkey is also a GTD tonight. Joshua Palmer is a really strong option if he can’t go.

Not expected to play. Dalton Kincaid (Dawson Knox is a good TE streamer), Alexander Mattison and Zamir White (there’s lots of buzz on Sincere McCormick if you are desperate), and Raheem Mostert (sneaky spot for Jaylen Wright).

Players who should be good to go. DJ Moore and D’Andre Swift, Bucky Irving, Jakobi Meyers, Kendre Miller, CeeDee Lamb, and Jake Ferguson.

Read on for some Week 14 DFS plays …

What else is in today’s newsletter?

1. Week 14 DFS Plays: Don’t forget about Brock Purdy

2. Watercooler: Last-Minute Sleepers
   

Week 14 DFS Picks

• by James McCool

The Week 14 Sunday slate is around the corner, and, as always, leveraging matchups is critical to crafting effective daily fantasy strategies.

I'm looking at all of them and scouring data to help you make good DFS choices with my Week 14 NFL DFS picks, featuring my top stack, value plays, GPP plays, and fades. 

Our NFL DFS Projections and DFS Pick'em Tool are also great resources; if you're interested in college DFS, we have projections here, too.

Top NFL DFS Stack For Week 14

San Francisco 49ers

When looking at the Niners as a stack, I think it’s pretty easy to make a decision between:

• Paying up for PHI and their 29.50 team total against CAR

• Paying down for SF with their 24.25 team total and condensed workload

Based on the slate dynamics at work here, I think the better choice in most contests is going to be paying down for SF. With no Christian McCaffrey, the 49ers' offense becomes more reliant on explosive passing plays, which Purdy has no issue making happen. With Jennings and Kittle projected for 50% of the targets and priced at $11k as a combo, it makes this QB+2 accessible while not giving up the ceiling we need to win GPPs.

The added benefit here is that their opponent, the Bears, have been one of the hotter offenses in the league over the last 3 weeks. This game environment is just too good to be priced so low.

Week 14 NFL DFS Value Picks

QB: Will Levis

To be clear, I don’t really love Titans stacks. When you sort the models over at Paydirt by 4x rate, they don’t show up very high even at a bargain price and their team total is middling. However, Will Levis is cheap enough that he makes a lot of things work. At $5000 he allows you to fit the likes of Alvin Kamara and A.J. Brown while still maintaining a decent median expectation at QB. Over the last 5 weeks, Levis has averaged 17.5 PPR points with a 19% designed rush rate, which gives him a great floor. He’s a fine option for cash games and SE contests as a QB+1 with Chig Okonkwo or Calvin Ridley.

WR: Jauan Jennings

Piggybacking on the SF stack recommendation, you are going to be able to get a lot of expected value out of Jennings this week. He is projected for a 27% target share along with 74 yards receiving, which is right in line with his performances for Weeks 10 and 11 where he put up 16.3 and 25.1 PPR points. His aDOT with no McCaffrey goes from around 7.5 all the way to 12.5, making each target considerably more valuable. He is too cheap for the circumstances and should be on your radar in all formats.

RELATED CONTENT

• We’ve got predictions for all of the Week 14 early-window games.

• John Laghezza also outlines all of the afternoon games.

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The latest fantasy nuggets, silliness, and NFL gossip from our merry band of football nerds:

🤯 Timothee Chalamet knows ball?! What a natural.

⚖️ Still need help setting your lineup? Here are your start-sit recommendations.

🤫 Week 14 sleepers. Claudia has you covered.

📊 Projections for every player in Week 14 … another tool to help with lineup decisions.

📆 Ready to move on to 2025? Freedman has an updated mock draft.

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