5 Rules For A Great Super Bowl Sunday

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Best Player Props To Target For Super Bowl 60

• Kenneth Walker Under 73.5 Rushing Yards (-110; FanDuel)

• Cooper Kupp 50+ Receiving Yards (+225; FanDuel)

• Rashid Shaheed To Have a Reception of 30+ yards (+430; FanDuel)

While the Patriots are my preferred side for the game, the Seahawks are the more appealing team in the player prop market. Their offense is a bit more condensed than the Patriots', making them the easier team to decipher. 

At running back, Walker has taken over as the team’s clear No. 1 option following the injury to Zach Charbonnet. That said, he’s still not exactly a bell cow. He was on the field for just 62% of the team’s offensive snaps last week, and he handled 76% of their rushing attempts. George Holani worked in on passing downs, and he should continue to be a factor in the Super Bowl. 

Walker has had 19 carries in back-to-back games. He torched a weak 49ers' run defense for 116 yards, but he managed just 62 against the Rams’ excellent defense.

This week’s opponent looks much closer to the Rams than the 49ers. When the Patriots’ defense has been at full strength this season, they’ve been extremely difficult to run against. They’ve surrendered 87 rushing yards or fewer in four straight games, and only four RBs have cleared 73.5 rushing yards vs. New England this season: Chase Brown, Derrick Henry, Breece Hall and Devin Singletary. All four of those games came with defensive lineman Milton Williams unavailable, so no one has gotten to this figure against the Pats at full strength. 

This number is down to 70.5 at most locations, but it’s still hanging in the mid-70s at some locations. This might be my favorite offering on the entire slate. 

Conversely, Kupp is a player I’m bullish on. His production has flown a bit under the radar after the team acquired Shaheed before the trade deadline. He’s been the team’s clear No. 2 option over that stretch, posting a 17% target share from Week 10 on. Kupp has had marks of 31% and 18% in their two playoff outings, so he’s their most reliable pass catcher not named Jaxon Smith-Njigba. 

Kupp hasn’t posted a ton of eye-popping production over that time frame, but he did have 60 yards against the 49ers in the Divisional Round. In a game where the Seahawks will likely have to throw the ball to move the sticks, I like him to have a solid performance. You could take the over on the traditional receiving prop (33.5 yards), but I’m going with the slightly larger payout for 50+.

While Kupp has been the Seahawks’ No. 2 receiver from a volume standpoint, Shaheed is the big-play threat. His biggest impact in Seattle has come on special teams, where he’s already scored three touchdowns, but he’s capable of getting behind defensive backs as well. We saw that last week vs. the Rams, with his only catch going for 51 yards.

Shaheed also had a 30-plus-yard reception with the Seahawks during the regular season, and he was just narrowly missed on a second. He did it multiple times during his tenure with the Saints, so big plays are what he brings to the table.

In his two playoff outings this season, his average depth of target (aDOT) has been 27.5 and 23.0 yards. I like the idea of playing him for a long reception compared to his traditional receiving prop, especially with the potential of a juicy +430 payout.

Who Are The Potential NFL Cap Casualties?

We know that big game on Sunday is as far ahead as many want to be looking on the NFL calendar, but we know there are 30 franchises and their respective fan bases that are already working on next season. Ian Hartitz is here for all of you, taking a hard look at which players could be cap casualties or trade candidates in the weeks ahead. One of the players who will be much-discussed is a quarterback out in the Arizona desert:

• Cardinals QB Kyler Murray: Unceremoniously benched after putting up career-worst passing efficiency numbers during his first five starts of 2025. While Murray never managed to build off his early-career success, he's 28 years young and is probably still a top-25-ish QB on the planet.

Get a head start on the QB carousel that is going to start spinning not long after we finally learn Bad Bunny’s setlist and the Lombardi Trophy is hoisted. Ian breaks down all the fantasy-relevant players—RBs, WRs and TEs, too—who could become available in the near future.⤵️

Around The Watercooler

The latest fantasy and NFL gossip, news, memes and more from our merry band of football nerds …

🤩 The MVP is coming BACK! Congrats, Matthew Stafford.

🥹 Try to keep a dry eye during Bobby Wagner’s Walter Payton Man of the Year speech … “I gotchu.”

🙌 And the OPOY is: Jaxon Smith-Njigba!

✊🏼 Knock, knock. Welcome to the Hall of Fame Drew Brees, Larry Fitzgerald, Roger Craig, Luke Kuechly and Adam Vinatieri.

👀 Is this backup RB the best buy-low in dynasty? His stock could skyrocket …

⬆️⬇️ Ready to go higher or lower on PrizePicks? We can see it both ways.

🚑 Stud Seahawks S Nick Emmanwori (ankle) will be good to go for Sunday.

🦘 Shoutout kangaroos: The Rams and 49ers will meet in Melbourne to play the NFL's first-ever game in Austrailia next season.

😂 Caleb Daniels?! C’mon, Ja’Marr!

👋 JT didn’t put himself in his Top 5. Still a great list.

🚀 Is Harold Fannin going to the moon under Todd Monken? Don’t wait to pick him.

🤔 Interesting debate on the two QBs in the Super Bowl. Who are you picking?

🏆 The champs pick the next Super Bowl champ. Don’t tell the Rams.